About us
What Is OliveOdds?
OliveOdds is a sports-analytics app that uses machine-learning models to estimate win probabilities for professional tennis and NBA basketball matches. It then compares those model probabilities against bookmaker-implied odds to surface situations where the market may be mispricing a player’s chances.
OliveOdds also includes a personal bet-tracking journal so you can log, organise, and review your own betting activity — all in one place.
How It Works
1. Match data for upcoming tennis and NBA fixtures is gathered and fed into our statistical models.
2. The models output a win-probability estimate for each side of a match, based on historical performance, head-to-head records, surface (tennis), and other relevant factors.
3. These probabilities are compared against the best available bookmaker odds to calculate an edge — the difference between our model’s implied probability and the market’s implied probability.
4. A positive edge means the model thinks the market is undervaluing a player. This is surfaced with a “Value” badge for users with Pro access.
5. An optional Kelly stake suggestion helps Pro users think about sizing, scaled conservatively to reduce variance.
Nothing in this process constitutes advice. These are mathematical outputs of a model, not guarantees.
⚠️ Important Disclaimer
OliveOdds is NOT a betting tip service. We are not tipsters.
We want to be absolutely clear:
– We do not advise you to place any bet, on any match, ever.
– We do not guarantee any profit from using the App or following any figures it displays.
– Win probabilities, edge percentages, and Kelly suggestions are statistical model outputs — they will sometimes be wrong, and past model accuracy does not guarantee future results.
– All decisions to place a wager, and all financial consequences of those decisions, are entirely your own.
– OliveOdds is a tool for analytically-minded sports fans. It is not a regulated financial product, gambling product, or advisory service.
Gambling carries significant financial risk. You can and may lose money. Please only bet what you can afford to lose.
Who Is OliveOdds For?
OliveOdds is designed for sports enthusiasts who:
– Already engage in recreational sports betting and want a data-driven perspective on match probabilities.
– Are curious about the gap between a model’s probability estimate and what the market prices in.
– Want to keep a clean, organised record of their own bets in one place.
It is not for people looking for guaranteed tips, sure bets, or investment advice.
Access Tiers
Free access is available to all users of the App without registration.
Pro access is currently granted by invitation only, at no cost, to a selected group of testers. There is no public purchase or subscription process. Pro invitations are issued exclusively at the discretion of the OliveOdds administrator.
Responsible Gambling
If you choose to engage in sports betting, please do so responsibly:
– Set a budget and stick to it. Never chase losses.
– Take breaks. Betting should be entertainment, not a source of stress or financial pressure.
– Seek help if gambling is affecting your finances, relationships, or wellbeing.
Useful resources:
– 🇩🇪 [Bundeszentrale für gesundheitliche Aufklärung (BZgA)](https://www.bzga.de) — 0800 1 372700 (Germany, free, 24/7)
– 🇩🇪 [Spielsucht Hilfe](https://www.spielen-mit-verantwortung.de)
– 🇬🇧 [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org) — 0808 8020 133 (UK, free, 24/7)
– 🇬🇧 [GamCare](https://www.gamcare.org.uk) — 0808 8020 133 (UK, free, 24/7)
– 🌍 [Gambling Therapy](https://www.gamblingtherapy.org) — international online support
– 🇪🇺 [European Problem Gambling Helplines](https://www.epg-project.eu/national-helplines/)
Contact
For questions, feedback, or support:
Email: eros902002@googlemail.com
For privacy-related enquiries, including GDPR data-subject requests, please use the same email address and reference “Privacy Request” in the subject line.
*OliveOdds is an independent app developed with a passion for sports analytics. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to any bookmaker, sports league, or gambling operator.*